Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2603671ccbe35eae78b78ef2d89b5c7fce2245a9e6140b93a95e952d3fccb6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 43,523$21,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,897.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 50c | 30,245$15,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,122.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 25,201$12,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,096.4 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 24,298$12,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,185.2 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 11,912$5,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,918.98 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 6,746$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.28 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 5,510$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 5,090$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.19 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 4,243$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.9 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,306$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.27 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,100$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 2,023$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.75 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,065$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 48c | 984$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.32 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 728.92$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.17 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 49c | 707.07$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.46 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Over | 48c | 614.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 557.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.38 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 51c | 539$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.11 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 51c | 371.34$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 358.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 68c | 301.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 49c | 283.48$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 272.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 253.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…7c59backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 194.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 22c | 125.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 114.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 47c | 106.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 101.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 55c | 100.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…d8b1backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 53c | 98.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 58.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 51c | 39.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 33.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Over | 48c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 52c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Under | 51c | 22.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 144.5this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne DukesDuquesne Dukes won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)Duquesne Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.