Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474a973b9a5456ab9815fda3058d10e908804e66e345a92d2ebbb1b837b2a1c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, Rhode Island Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 1,727$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Rhode Island Rams | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 985.4$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.94 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Duquesne Dukes | 52c | 724.59$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.85 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Rhode Island Rams | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes | 56c | 297.66$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 118.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Rhode Island Rams | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rhode Island Rams | 48c | 91.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Rhode Island Rams | 40c | 89.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Duquesne Dukes | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Duquesne Dukes | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-2.5)this page
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne DukesDuquesne Dukes won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 144.5Under won
- Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.