NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db1827dfb787cd627dad0690c44c839953a5c1567c6ff213807256cf3401c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 5,699$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.41 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 2,679$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.98 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 48c | 2,236$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,511$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 58c | 1,433$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.89 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 633.4$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.03 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 467.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 65c | 331$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 272.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 37c | 268.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952e…2288backed Under | 48c | 216$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…d4c2backed Over | 52c | 210.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…3789backed Over | 52c | 204.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…f7a2backed Under | 48c | 199$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 57c | 193.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 59c | 165$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 107.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 68c | 75.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 75.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 52c | 56.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 45c | 51.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 46.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 36c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 51c | 40.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…9d61backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…20fabacked Over | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 60c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 42c | 28.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 55c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 49c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.