NHL · resolved market
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0c6a256f9226f64bb162ae6323117d78de5ab2f1e8f4a1bff39206031e6880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 40c | 482.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.52 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Islanders | 41c | 365.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.92 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Panthers | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Panthers | 57c | 247.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Panthers | 60c | 226.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Panthers | 59c | 223.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 58c | 199.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 27c | 165.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Islanders | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Islanders | 41c | 142.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Islanders | 62c | 138.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 61c | 132.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Islanders | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers | 57c | 99.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Panthers | 63c | 87.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Panthers | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Islanders | 61c | 68.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Islanders | 60c | 67.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Panthers | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…c99cbacked Panthers | 60c | 57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Panthers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Islanders | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Islanders | 41c | 48.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Islanders | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Islanders | 35c | 46.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Islanders | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Panthers | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Islanders | 54c | 35.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Panthers | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Panthers | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Panthers | 60c | 33.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Panthers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Panthers | 62c | 32.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 60c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Panthers | 58c | 28.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Panthers | 60c | 23.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Panthers | 60c | 23.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Panthers | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Panthers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Panthers | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.