TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alvaro Guillen Mezaof Alvaro Guillen Meza, Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84bd…34d0backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi0c47,447$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4510829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi49c28,700$14,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,098.137,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza56c21,586$11,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,590.8611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cda…2de5backed Alvaro Guillen Meza67c15,731$10,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,192.526157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi70c12,528$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.048229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alvaro Guillen Meza52c7,890$4,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,755.931,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi44c6,239$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.232,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Alvaro Guillen Meza72c4,461$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.9517348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi44c4,414$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.6424438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alvaro Guillen Meza53c4,073$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.318,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza46c3,612$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.1148453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Alvaro Guillen Meza23c2,186$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.824114.6%6 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Alvaro Guillen Meza36c1,694$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.327231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi56c1,519$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.822,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza55c1,408$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.967142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza57c1,256$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.881,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Alvaro Guillen Meza34c1,123$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.611,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi79c992.36$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.172,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Alvaro Guillen Meza66c928.86$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.811464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi36c899.3$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.514,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza50c792.84$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1132050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi62c776.79$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alvaro Guillen Meza52c720.46$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.964,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza62c702.06$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.234,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi45c694.21$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.616,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza35c686.43$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1824638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza17c674.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.8630225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alvaro Guillen Meza53c595.47$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.879,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza51c592.73$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.312,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi60c532.72$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37045343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Alvaro Guillen Meza62c486.5$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Alvaro Guillen Meza50c441.45$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3724460.2%147 W · 97 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza50c400.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi76c389.05$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6837071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi50c382.43$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza70c373.71$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.112,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Alvaro Guillen Meza27c354.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.531,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Alvaro Guillen Meza70c330.96$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8341658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza35c318.5$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0341544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alvaro Guillen Meza75c305$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.12,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi43c291.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5517655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi73c283.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8311659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza48c275.25$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.598240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Alvaro Guillen Meza35c274.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4757349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza70c262.55$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3539955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9bb…4066backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi69c243.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.831291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi50c236.65$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.336,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza46c230.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2547649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi58c226.47$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.451,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza35c224.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8361752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi29c212.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi34c210.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.771,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi72c204.83$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Alvaro Guillen Meza50c203.75$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6324460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza53c197.72$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4852854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi23c196.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1161924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi35c187.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5123865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi28c181.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi44c181.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.470148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Alvaro Guillen Meza51c171.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.759462.8%59 W · 35 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi26c169.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7315248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza58c168.34$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4310971.6%78 W · 31 L+11.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Alvaro Guillen Meza70c164.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7248652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi77c160$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.215748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi54c155.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.884060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza18c154.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.833557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alvaro Guillen Meza28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza64c144.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.421,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Alvaro Guillen Meza63c140.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.885448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Alvaro Guillen Meza35c139.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4362534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a1…b363backed Alvaro Guillen Meza66c136.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza70c132.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.664465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza71c129.07$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.029263%58 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza65c128.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1179052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi66c127.38$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0716961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Alvaro Guillen Meza65c120.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.486753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4652…6863backed Alvaro Guillen Meza72c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.594163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi40c108.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2522646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi40c108.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2523248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe47…a4b1backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi40c108.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.258951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alvaro Guillen Meza38c107.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.354,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Alvaro Guillen Meza64c107.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2637153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi78c99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2281255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi44c97.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.766836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…df70backed Alvaro Guillen Meza36c96.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.314858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi66c90.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.592,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi37c89.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.114055%22 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza38c85.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0348650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Alvaro Guillen Meza21c82.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6523758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi55c78.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.091,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi73c73.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.526450%32 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi50c73.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3740048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b8…a279backed Alvaro Guillen Meza45c72.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.882860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi59c69.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6725366.8%169 W · 84 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi57c66.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.983141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi37c65.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2611041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.