Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f81a85435d2b2379299c9aa88734b874d2b30e708450ee9794897ce5330ecad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Breogan Lugoof Real Madrid, CB Breogan Lugo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked Real Madrid | 65c | 6,133$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed CB Breogan Lugo | 68c | 2,417$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 12c | 1,913$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.22 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CB Breogan Lugo | 38c | 1,743$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.66 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Real Madrid | 30c | 1,123$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.52 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Real Madrid | 2c | 1,059$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 33c | 803.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.82 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 31c | 501.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.74 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 12c | 457.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid | 73c | 406.11$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed CB Breogan Lugo | 12c | 404.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked Real Madrid | 62c | 322.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Madrid | 31c | 305.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CB Breogan Lugo | 12c | 260.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.16 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 42c | 242$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed CB Breogan Lugo | 35c | 228$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed CB Breogan Lugo | 12c | 205.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CB Breogan Lugo | 11c | 202.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb4…ebf7backed Real Madrid | 45c | 195.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 31c | 191$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.71 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed CB Breogan Lugo | 29c | 184$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed CB Breogan Lugo | 26c | 170.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 29c | 169$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CB Breogan Lugo | 45c | 168.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CB Breogan Lugo | 31c | 156.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 29c | 134$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed CB Breogan Lugo | 29c | 134$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Real Madrid | 78c | 102.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CB Breogan Lugo | 29c | 92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 32c | 84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CB Breogan Lugo | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed CB Breogan Lugo | 66c | 63.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CB Breogan Lugo | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed CB Breogan Lugo | 34c | 45.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Real Madrid | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked CB Breogan Lugo | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 58c | 32.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…53a1backed Real Madrid | 50c | 24.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed CB Breogan Lugo | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Real Madrid | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.