Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49cf3f5798088c5e4dd8a05df46ab949f8f7cf75a6d496edf1b8fab7bd317a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 8,982$7,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.39 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 17c | 2,835$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,357$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.53 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,864$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.04 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,714$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 14c | 1,362$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.81 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,162$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 887.36$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.09 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 15c | 666.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 15c | 646.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 29c | 579.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 3c | 481.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 14c | 194.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…c3c4backed Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 130.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 70c | 129$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Yes | 20c | 124.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 72c | 102.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 15c | 98.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc844…2393backed Yes | 20c | 97.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 86.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…23f1backed Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 16c | 65.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…9d48backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 28c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 20c | 57.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 45.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 75c | 40.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 78c | 40.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 75c | 34.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 72c | 29.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 17.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 15.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.