Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a0053b3707e4178dc3e426ff6bbf1d86801f076ddc8aeb7adf248d3042c6f9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed No | 43c | 38,169$16,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,412.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 12c | 30,000$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.35 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 57c | 4,860$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 7c | 3,334$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 12c | 2,828$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Yes | 58c | 2,587$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 1,686$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 10c | 1,552$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 1,535$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 1,371$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.27 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 1,226$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,048$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.64 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 42c | 950.44$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Yes | 58c | 897.11$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 59c | 527.75$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 12c | 502.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked No | 3c | 413.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 26c | 368.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 9c | 299.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 42c | 276.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 237.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 58c | 237.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 182.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Yes | 57c | 173.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…8154backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 57c | 166.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…6fbdbacked No | 12c | 86.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 73.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 76c | 60.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 60.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1586…b94abacked Yes | 76c | 52.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 46.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 40.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 62c | 34.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 43c | 27.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 44c | 27.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 57c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 77c | 24.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c20…1c54backed Yes | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 57c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 58c | 20.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Randers FC vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.