Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05fc9907bc0a726091a2e02e7d28127c047970bb5f2f9562ec63939607c78ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bilbao Basket | 15c | 1,980$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.09 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bilbao Basket | 8c | 1,135$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dda9backed Valencia | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Valencia | 57c | 1,047$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bilbao Basket | 62c | 824$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.32 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Valencia | 50c | 775$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilbao Basket | 35c | 647.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Valencia | 69c | 641.41$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.71 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Valencia | 49c | 619.32$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Bilbao Basket | 16c | 618.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Bilbao Basket | 36c | 506.11$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 30c | 480.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Bilbao Basket | 23c | 431.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Bilbao Basket | 14c | 427.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Valencia | 20c | 410$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Valencia | 21c | 223.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bilbao Basket | 13c | 214.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Bilbao Basket | 60c | 192.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Bilbao Basket | 54c | 192.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bilbao Basket | 32c | 181.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bilbao Basket | 39c | 174.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…de2abacked Bilbao Basket | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Valencia | 38c | 139.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia | 64c | 131.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Valencia | 36c | 120.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Valencia | 27c | 112.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Valencia | 75c | 108.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia | 34c | 106.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Bilbao Basket | 11c | 103.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valencia | 39c | 102.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bilbao Basket | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Valencia | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Bilbao Basket | 37c | 86.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Bilbao Basket | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Bilbao Basket | 29c | 79.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…cdcfbacked Bilbao Basket | 17c | 74.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Bilbao Basket | 16c | 72.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Valencia | 47c | 72.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valencia | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Valencia | 38c | 67.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Bilbao Basket | 30c | 67.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bilbao Basket | 53c | 67.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Valencia | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Bilbao Basket | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Bilbao Basket | 58c | 46.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b1c6backed Valencia | 71c | 45.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Valencia | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Valencia | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Bilbao Basket | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Bilbao Basket | 51c | 32.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Bilbao Basket | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valencia | 39c | 28.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Valencia | 73c | 27.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Bilbao Basket | 58c | 27.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Valencia | 74c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia vs. Bilbao Basketthis page
- Spread: Valencia (-11.5)Bilbao Basket won
- Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket: O/U 176.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.