Euroleague · resolved market
Manresa vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98cc9d1154b3e1126d7939276597b446dc437be8f5d7f490a1c31419c5fc3d2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Manresa, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Joventut | 35c | 1,128$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.15 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manresa | 66c | 557.22$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Joventut | 18c | 489.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Joventut | 48c | 472.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Manresa | 52c | 363.23$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Joventut | 51c | 350$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…f951backed Manresa | 60c | 324.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joventut | 27c | 250.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Joventut | 51c | 209.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joventut | 38c | 208.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manresa | 48c | 167.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Manresa | 58c | 166.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Manresa | 49c | 149.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Manresa | 49c | 115.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Manresa | 46c | 105.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Joventut | 47c | 103.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Joventut | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Manresa | 71c | 95.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Joventut | 42c | 93.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Joventut | 14c | 74.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Manresa | 67c | 60.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Joventut | 38c | 51.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Joventut | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Manresa | 69c | 49.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Manresa | 52c | 44.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Manresa | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Joventut | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Manresa | 71c | 39.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Manresa | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Manresa | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Joventut | 47c | 32.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Joventut | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Joventut | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Manresa | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manresa | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Manresa | 76c | 29.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manresa | 78c | 28.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Manresa | 46c | 28.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Manresa | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Manresa | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Manresa | 77c | 13.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.