Euroleague · resolved market
CB Murcia vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x114aac763971e1adf3a491694d6b89701de9c6e4376e117cdbf5e832f76e0554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof CB Murcia, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Barcelona | 44c | 6,669$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb459…3efdbacked CB Murcia | 56c | 4,407$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed CB Murcia | 2c | 3,783$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CB Murcia | 21c | 3,059$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.71 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CB Murcia | 31c | 2,762$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.02 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…524dbacked CB Murcia | 57c | 2,394$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Barcelona | 47c | 2,076$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed CB Murcia | 56c | 1,969$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Barcelona | 49c | 1,927$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.36 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Barcelona | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked CB Murcia | 3c | 1,075$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed CB Murcia | 60c | 1,056$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barcelona | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked CB Murcia | 7c | 770.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Barcelona | 47c | 758.19$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.59 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CB Murcia | 54c | 730.2$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.31 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Barcelona | 58c | 614.01$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.91 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Barcelona | 54c | 464.76$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Barcelona | 41c | 446$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CB Murcia | 32c | 358.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Barcelona | 40c | 322.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed CB Murcia | 54c | 320.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Barcelona | 70c | 309.35$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…0b56backed CB Murcia | 65c | 303.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Barcelona | 44c | 281.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed CB Murcia | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…e23dbacked CB Murcia | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Barcelona | 37c | 225.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.73 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barcelona | 43c | 212.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Barcelona | 59c | 201.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Barcelona | 40c | 201$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CB Murcia | 8c | 185.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Barcelona | 62c | 182.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked CB Murcia | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed CB Murcia | 55c | 174.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed CB Murcia | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Barcelona | 44c | 137$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Barcelona | 42c | 131.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5349backed Barcelona | 43c | 130.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed CB Murcia | 55c | 129.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…0409backed CB Murcia | 56c | 128.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barcelona | 58c | 127.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked CB Murcia | 22c | 120.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…a857backed Barcelona | 45c | 119.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…2316backed CB Murcia | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CB Murcia | 50c | 119.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e11…d8eabacked Barcelona | 46c | 116.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Barcelona | 45c | 113.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked CB Murcia | 58c | 110.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Barcelona | 45c | 106.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Barcelona | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed CB Murcia | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Barcelona | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barcelona | 68c | 95.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5b…b400backed CB Murcia | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd145…de2abacked Barcelona | 46c | 89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Barcelona | 40c | 88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Barcelona | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked CB Murcia | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Barcelona | 52c | 67.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed CB Murcia | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked CB Murcia | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed CB Murcia | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Barcelona | 69c | 43.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked CB Murcia | 56c | 38.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed CB Murcia | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Barcelona | 43c | 29.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…9656backed Barcelona | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Barcelona | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Barcelona | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Barcelona | 46c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…1c8cbacked CB Murcia | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Barcelona | 63c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CB Murcia | 50c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed CB Murcia | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed CB Murcia | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.