Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae47f8140a7b047c914eff1afd1be70654b080efffe6b9fbb4dd0ceeacdcbe40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 3,766$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.81 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 2,271$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 35c | 2,060$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.13 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 1,618$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.87 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 1,410$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.27 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 1,342$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.98 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 1,137$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 73c | 838.93$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 35c | 583.69$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 57c | 399.4$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 372.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 221.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 56c | 197.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Over | 72c | 195$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 193.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 26c | 152.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 56c | 146.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 73c | 112.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Under | 50c | 107.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 49c | 89.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 45c | 76.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 50c | 74.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 74.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 67.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 66.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 51c | 66.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 16c | 63.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 48c | 40.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 44c | 35.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Over | 56c | 34.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 34c | 30.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 44c | 25.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 45c | 24.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 56c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 46c | 22.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 72c | 21.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.