Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e3b245a69778b78d86274cbbadbb5dcf6275660ad840a23f9ec70752d467ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,306$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 1,850$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 49c | 1,510$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.18 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 52c | 1,302$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.75 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 27c | 1,050$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 34c | 1,026$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 868.06$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 45c | 817.58$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 758.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.21 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 597.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 521.03$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 409$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 48c | 374.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 47c | 294.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Over | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 50c | 147.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 67c | 129.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 115.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 92.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Under | 68c | 72.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 72c | 68.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 64.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 46c | 55.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 53c | 54.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 40c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 51c | 30.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 28.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 58c | 21.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: SBV Excelsior (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.