Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f3a715dd1a2e026f5be4285fa0cb46b30c3addb544b99b18fd14e53bbbcbde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Københavnof FC København, Vejle BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vejle BK | 71c | 657.59$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC København | 50c | 516.44$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Vejle BK | 11c | 363$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vejle BK | 65c | 316.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FC København | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC København | 33c | 201.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC København | 63c | 197.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC København | 25c | 184$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed FC København | 36c | 147.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked FC København | 34c | 114.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vejle BK | 68c | 68.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed FC København | 42c | 51.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed FC København | 33c | 50.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Vejle BK | 58c | 48.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Vejle BK | 75c | 25.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Vejle BK | 75c | 25.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Vejle BK | 75c | 19.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)this page
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.