Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC København (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaef8d5a2c82b604cab96ee534c555feb696f3671d7d78e21e966570d571ef6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Københavnof FC København, Vejle BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vejle BK | 47c | 1,156$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed FC København | 50c | 1,047$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Vejle BK | 37c | 693.94$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.98 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vejle BK | 42c | 609.68$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC København | 63c | 491.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC København | 64c | 463.7$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Vejle BK | 38c | 255.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed FC København | 58c | 254.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed FC København | 53c | 182.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Vejle BK | 42c | 177.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed FC København | 56c | 124.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Vejle BK | 40c | 95.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed FC København | 60c | 84.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FC København | 67c | 84.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vejle BK | 43c | 82.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked FC København | 58c | 81.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Vejle BK | 33c | 73.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed FC København | 49c | 50.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed FC København | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed FC København | 57c | 41.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed FC København | 64c | 39.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vejle BK | 42c | 38.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked FC København | 58c | 34.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked FC København | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed FC København | 57c | 32.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FC København | 55c | 31.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked FC København | 61c | 31.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed FC København | 64c | 30.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed FC København | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC København | 59c | 28.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed FC København | 58c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed FC København | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked FC København | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)this page
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC København won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.