Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63946845ef2617e51b7605e1cb4be76ec071a76368f5add87c40d547f06153b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 70c | 442.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 433.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 351.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 66c | 222.71$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 192.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 34c | 179.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 27c | 176.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 66c | 166.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 66c | 148.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 145.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 113.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Yes | 70c | 110.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 64c | 76.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 34c | 64.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…0b3bbacked Yes | 65c | 45.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 63c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.