TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Under60c4,983$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.054062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c4,257$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.5727837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under71c3,886$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.672157.1%12 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over9c2,171$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.413923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c2,138$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.5319044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over40c1,810$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.847949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under73c1,798$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.821275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over36c1,516$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.78540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c1,170$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.723,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9913844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c984.69$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.724046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.68547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over23c918.76$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under77c912.93$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9748344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under54c904.33$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.992934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under54c796.21$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.263450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over36c663.18$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.81,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over38c599.34$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.326936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c533.71$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7135149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over52c533.63$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.037364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c513.54$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.791,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over24c493.46$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Under72c429.27$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over39c369.28$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.515337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over12c251.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.665326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under57c236.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over43c224.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5810043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over48c209.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.510319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c189.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3168150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under66c187.48$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under52c187.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.182171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over53c184.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1711244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over40c178.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under76c177.05$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2328851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under60c162.06$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4219056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c152.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6729460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c151.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over40c140.6$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under46c138.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over29c135.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.215458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d2…6ea7backed Under52c130.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under61c124.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over39c107.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under50c97.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.791942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over23c82.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.199654.2%52 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c81.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9916744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over47c81.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.747245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c78.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0216853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over37c76.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.484047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under59c76.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under64c76.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3819255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over51c76.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over42c74.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over40c73.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5212661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under64c66.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under73c65.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.68950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over40c57.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0720554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under58c53.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.587037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3320…af8fbacked Over35c50.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…0f0bbacked Under79c49.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over49c47.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.271118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-61.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under60c44.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8322263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under62c40.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.226443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9690…f82fbacked Over31c39.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c34.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over29c34.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0414957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c33.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.925934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under59c33.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5616656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5610957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over40c32.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under66c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.521850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under58c26.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1612346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under60c24.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Under62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.122454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under59c20.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under60c18.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.526150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb223…f596backed Under76c17.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.