TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4d0…8814backed Over65c2,656$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c2,642$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.271,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,969$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.173,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c1,644$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Under39c1,496$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c1,005$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.341,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over78c845.28$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.133865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c702.84$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3982044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under30c655.64$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c644.13$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7858043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c633$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.26662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c608.84$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over63c513.43$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.7410250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over63c499.92$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.977668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x662d…d041backed Over58c395.08$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Under12c340$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…3050backed Over60c302.53$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under13c236.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.666936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over61c233.4$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under50c204.72$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3228851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over63c201.73$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under49c199.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.998934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over50c198.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over58c184.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1919172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c180.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.578344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over63c170.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.294645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over60c165.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.378950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c163.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0135149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c157.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2939234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over60c156.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.465100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over77c145.39$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.736563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7795…2db2backed Under37c143.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…f88fbacked Over46c135.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over49c115.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under38c115.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.211,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c109.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0919560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under41c109.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.525934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over64c97.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2213243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c82.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5154…ea77backed Over64c75.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under49c75.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.051942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over54c71.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.611952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf70…957bbacked Over64c70.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over75c70$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over69c69.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.618739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae19…daabbacked Under41c63.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over67c62.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5816853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.413461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3429460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under27c57.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c57.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over59c55.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7739567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over63c55.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd05b…3bf2backed Under50c55.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over64c53.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2616744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Over60c53.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+73.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over63c48.89$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.096256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.523036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.294845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c45.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.819758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under34c44.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.071435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Under40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under28c40.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.615259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under36c39.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.287037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under38c38.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7719347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under38c38.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5319255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over74c37.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9587154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under34c35.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.112263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under35c35.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.553138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over58c31.97$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.588971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over58c31.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3318774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.213557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over62c29.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1416531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over61c25.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Over76c24.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over60c24.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93cb…bafdbacked Over64c21.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Over74c20.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.354077.5%31 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8126…09fcbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Over65c18.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.455100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over63c18.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.