Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Italy vs UAE (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b503fb0cd984b81466ad9128646ad444a15bd605a6d639692afae048a66c86d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Italy, UAE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $355,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Italy | 42c | 150,200$62,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,427.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked UAE | 58c | 150,090$87,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,366.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed UAE | 55c | 8,700$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac7…689dbacked Italy | 45c | 8,700$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…88d1backed UAE | 67c | 3,600$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a929backed Italy | 33c | 3,600$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed UAE | 42c | 1,931$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.58 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked UAE | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Italy | 46c | 1,130$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Italy | 63c | 1,090$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed UAE | 26c | 1,060$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.2 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed UAE | 2c | 914.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 134 | 26.9%36 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Italy | 77c | 739.14$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Italy | 74c | 671.47$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Italy | 60c | 499$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Italy | 56c | 462.68$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed UAE | 3c | 456.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 330 | 15.8%52 W · 278 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed UAE | 66c | 451.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Italy | 61c | 392.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6a40backed UAE | 52c | 381.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Italy | 53c | 350$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 514 | 47.7%245 W · 269 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…6fd5backed UAE | 8c | 348$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked UAE | 9c | 311.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Italy | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 686 | 31.2%214 W · 472 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UAE | 55c | 233.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Italy | 54c | 232.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed UAE | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UAE | 58c | 219.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Italy | 59c | 206.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed UAE | 52c | 202.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +26.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked UAE | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Italy | 50c | 187$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Italy | 50c | 182.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…35c3backed Italy | 61c | 181.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Italy | 67c | 164.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UAE | 57c | 157.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Italy | 43c | 116.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…4d90backed UAE | 13c | 111.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed UAE | 41c | 102.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…cd20backed Italy | 48c | 100.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6885…caafbacked Italy | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Italy | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked UAE | 33c | 96.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Italy | 58c | 90.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Italy | 42c | 72.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Italy | 39c | 63.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Italy | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Italy | 37c | 59.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Italy | 62c | 57.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Italy | 80c | 56.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Italy | 59c | 51.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 438 | 44.5%195 W · 243 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed UAE | 78c | 51.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed UAE | 59c | 46.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Italy | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…c051backed Italy | 62c | 44.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…23d9backed UAE | 60c | 43.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…d501backed UAE | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…96c3backed Italy | 49c | 40.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked UAE | 62c | 35.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Italy | 46c | 32.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed UAE | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…8470backed UAE | 62c | 32.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed UAE | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc1…a1e6backed Italy | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Italy | 52c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…8e0dbacked UAE | 40c | 27.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Italy | 69c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 203 | 63.1%128 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Italy | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Italy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.