Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4beff9e9336b88225b589419eb0d8b60382603d7961df2d44dc5c5dacc4ade17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof BIG, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 56c | 18,147$10,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.79 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BIG | 45c | 10,885$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.34 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed BIG | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 56c | 6,005$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.3 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.04 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked BIG | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked BIG | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed BIG | 44c | 1,291$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.93 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed BIG | 47c | 842.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked BIG | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa876…4215backed BIG | 43c | 548$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 60c | 501.09$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 361.75$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed BIG | 49c | 344.62$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BIG | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed BIG | 45c | 190.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 190.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked BIG | 45c | 108.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked BIG | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed BIG | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed BIG | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed BIG | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed BIG | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 54c | 91.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed BIG | 45c | 68.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 195 | 52.3%102 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed BIG | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed BIG | 45c | 49.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked BIG | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed BIG | 44c | 48.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed BIG | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed BIG | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed BIG | 49c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 54c | 22.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked BIG | 45c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 55c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerBIG won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 3 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 4 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.