Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x722b628c0411f7ba23c4340ca9715edd1a18584846c85a25a10a173221407c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 50c | 12,004$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,051.41 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 50c | 3,002$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.53 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Over | 49c | 2,504$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 2,170$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.65 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 44c | 630.05$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.11 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 381.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 48c | 317.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Over | 49c | 246.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…3b05backed Under | 48c | 209.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 55c | 183.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +219.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 58c | 173.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 56c | 136.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 48c | 128.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…98fbbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 50c | 100.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…8f34backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 164 | 62.2%102 W · 62 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 83.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 49c | 78.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 76.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 52c | 76.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 55c | 74.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 43c | 58.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 44c | 53.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 50.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…8889backed Under | 22c | 47.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 48c | 43.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 51c | 34.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…0377backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Under | 49c | 30.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 54c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked Under | 50c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- Game Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+2.5)E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerBIG won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 3 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 4 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.