Tweets · resolved market
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68a96b22be3dfc437442b9b912499f1c72d892344dd0c75a2a695c07cb4e3ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 71c | 419.98$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…d85ebacked Yes | 78c | 246.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 223.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Yes | 14c | 176.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 228 | 24.1%55 W · 173 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 72c | 119.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 20c | 118.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…6883backed Yes | 78c | 111.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 47c | 107.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 360 | 18.6%67 W · 293 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 28c | 93.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 25c | 90.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 38c | 90.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…8371backed Yes | 34c | 78.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -77%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 21c | 66.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b9…d18cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 52.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 72c | 51.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 51.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 80c | 40.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…bddcbacked Yes | 48c | 37.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 37.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…1590backed Yes | 60c | 33.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…2ba5backed No | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 44c | 23.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 235 | 41.3%97 W · 138 L | -29.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked No | 75c | 19.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?this page
- Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
- Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.