Fifa International · resolved market
Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a597cf9b86eca30dc6fc9ed71045c4254d84d40b8ad376857def7419f5b7bbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 41,398$28,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,832.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 30c | 20,822$6,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,566.25 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed No | 32c | 17,390$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,825.11 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 79c | 11,404$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 7,026$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed Yes | 67c | 6,722$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,503.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 32c | 6,519$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.91 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 5,873$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 30c | 5,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.94 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 31c | 5,004$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.73 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Yes | 9c | 3,839$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 3,296$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.27 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 36c | 3,090$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.39 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 31c | 3,009$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 31c | 2,936$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.68 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 2,894$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.78 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 14c | 2,454$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.03 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 26c | 2,388$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.51 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…ed36backed Yes | 69c | 1,978$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 1,812$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.48 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…7b84backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 68c | 1,246$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.13 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…83f2backed Yes | 68c | 1,153$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 69c | 1,058$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.51 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…44b4backed Yes | 68c | 1,047$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.85 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 68c | 1,033$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.53 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 31c | 974.97$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.73 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 879.83$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.88 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 31c | 867.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.75 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 31c | 811.79$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.57 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 31c | 697.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.33 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 31c | 679.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 69c | 660$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 33c | 609.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.38 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 69c | 558.12$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 68c | 528.36$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.28 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 31c | 515.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.33 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…8390backed Yes | 68c | 508.28$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…145dbacked Yes | 69c | 501.77$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 31c | 475$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.75 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 29c | 464.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.89 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 453.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…0b1abacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…4d37backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 68c | 436.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.63 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 30c | 434.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.96 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 30c | 416$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 69c | 410$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 69c | 399.04$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.34 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 30c | 390.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.34 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 32c | 366$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…1819backed Yes | 68c | 332.35$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 68c | 308.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 28c | 300.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…3f42backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…77f3backed Yes | 68c | 279.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 68c | 232.94$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…a9b0backed Yes | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…67e0backed Yes | 68c | 210.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 208.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Yes | 68c | 168.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…2b4bbacked Yes | 68c | 167.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 30c | 160$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…e54bbacked Yes | 69c | 157.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 32c | 149.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…930ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 68c | 145.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…be17backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…f4ffbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…345abacked Yes | 70c | 143.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…0bacbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…75c8backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…ea26backed Yes | 70c | 113.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Yes | 68c | 111.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 18c | 109.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Yes | 67c | 101$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…162dbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…5164backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…456fbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…d893backed Yes | 69c | 98.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Germany?Yes won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.