TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bratislava: Tiago Pereira vs Andrej Martin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Andrej Martinof Tiago Pereira, Andrej Martin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Andrej Martin69c3,381$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.084,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tiago Pereira33c3,220$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.978,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrej Martin57c2,679$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.064,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Andrej Martin60c2,415$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.672,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andrej Martin66c2,136$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tiago Pereira34c2,000$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.829,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tiago Pereira41c1,970$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Andrej Martin63c1,574$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.424,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked Andrej Martin51c1,356$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tiago Pereira40c1,083$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.334,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Andrej Martin60c1,083$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.339751.5%50 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Andrej Martin58c1,026$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.371,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Tiago Pereira42c1,006$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.521,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tiago Pereira40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Tiago Pereira41c881.36$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3643743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Andrej Martin77c878.29$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0162956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Andrej Martin59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.468461.9%52 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Tiago Pereira42c747.14$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.89743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tiago Pereira68c735$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.81,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x513b…ade9backed Tiago Pereira51c693.39$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.631675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Tiago Pereira21c658.64$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andrej Martin46c640.74$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.576,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb3…5affbacked Andrej Martin64c624.63$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.871747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Andrej Martin54c540.5$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.632,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Andrej Martin41c540.26$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.612,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrej Martin48c521.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.388,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Tiago Pereira32c499.68$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.034,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Tiago Pereira41c469.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4945850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Tiago Pereira43c454.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.461,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Andrej Martin57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.615854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tiago Pereira45c374.81$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.86,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Tiago Pereira55c364.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tiago Pereira36c343.33$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Andrej Martin58c322$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.361,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Tiago Pereira42c300$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0218445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Andrej Martin67c277.28$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7579052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tiago Pereira59c269.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.15,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Tiago Pereira42c243.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.492,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Andrej Martin50c224.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8663746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Tiago Pereira40c189.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Tiago Pereira37c187$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1973748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Tiago Pereira24c165$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7516451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Tiago Pereira49c164.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.817428.4%21 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Tiago Pereira63c158$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.541,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Andrej Martin64c157.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.39360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Tiago Pereira38c148$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2415754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Tiago Pereira23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3375312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…3378backed Tiago Pereira69c128.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Tiago Pereira31c128$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.162,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Tiago Pereira41c121.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Tiago Pereira41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Andrej Martin23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.445235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Andrej Martin54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Andrej Martin23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.448235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Andrej Martin23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.469438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Andrej Martin23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.419744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50b8…3fc9backed Tiago Pereira45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Tiago Pereira48c108.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.893,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca6…6d74backed Andrej Martin54c106.62$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67129.6%21 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Tiago Pereira28c103$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3751339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Tiago Pereira43c102.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.981,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Andrej Martin23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7718132.6%59 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Tiago Pereira41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4138947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Andrej Martin23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7719941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Andrej Martin53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3427528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Andrej Martin57c91.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.161,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andrej Martin69c88.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.476,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Andrej Martin55c86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.024,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8926…ffe1backed Tiago Pereira70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf46…8734backed Andrej Martin76c84.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-83.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Andrej Martin59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa58a…ac27backed Tiago Pereira60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Andrej Martin34c76.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.473,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…2899backed Andrej Martin70c71.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.784669.6%32 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Tiago Pereira42c69.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9889859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Tiago Pereira42c64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8839443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andrej Martin44c60.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.886,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a1…8640backed Tiago Pereira44c56.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Andrej Martin48c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.42,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tiago Pereira42c54.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.053,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andrej Martin58c53.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.363,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Andrej Martin52c50.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.323,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Tiago Pereira35c49.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Tiago Pereira42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Andrej Martin52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0846957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Andrej Martin53c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Andrej Martin32c41.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3558539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Andrej Martin56c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.538860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Tiago Pereira52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2812659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Andrej Martin50c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1930226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Tiago Pereira38c36.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Tiago Pereira33c35.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5633352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tiago Pereira45c35.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9674346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Andrej Martin62c33.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8828048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a92…716abacked Tiago Pereira45c33.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5820…b6f6backed Andrej Martin63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.758959.6%53 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Andrej Martin32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Andrej Martin32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Tiago Pereira38c30.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7834560%207 W · 138 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Andrej Martin66c29.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2415053.3%80 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.