TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over49c204,345$99,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,231.9946949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Under51c41,409$21,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,118.4421242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c31,437$16,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,569.6311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c21,319$10,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,872.6428350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c14,993$7,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,750.564,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c14,672$7,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,558.012,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under51c12,404$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.216264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under51c12,245$6,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,244.929147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under51c12,035$6,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,176.713,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c11,300$5,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,821.011,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under51c9,456$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,822.552626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under51c6,897$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.4723538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under51c6,760$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.5819546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.2221748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c6,098$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,196.328,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under53c5,298$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.7316746.7%78 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c4,963$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.234,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under52c4,570$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.658,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under52c3,883$2,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.1644945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under52c3,544$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.7475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c3,347$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.441,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Under55c2,700$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.9810344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Under52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under53c2,287$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.712,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over50c2,030$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.2320648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under56c1,981$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.363525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c1,884$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.112,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over48c1,650$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.6651545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over45c1,630$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.9186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under53c1,475$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.878,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under50c1,300$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65661352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over45c1,278$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.6223758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under48c1,251$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.1116945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under56c1,135$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9522753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53021057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaff…5cb1backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under51c827.63$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.092227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over64c819.36$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9790446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under51c806$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0655653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c777.57$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.895,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under51c777.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.061,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Under2c742.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8580%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6743153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under53c656$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6828347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c637.4$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under51c551.75$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3910438.5%40 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under51c551.75$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.399339.8%37 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under53c543.51$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0637546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under52c497$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.441,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over63c465.88$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.171,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c429.95$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7744749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c420.46$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under4c420$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.270737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Under51c413.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c397.7$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.839,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c331.36$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2341346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c311$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.11,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under51c306$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.061,29950.9%661 W · 638 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdec…e0e7backed Under51c279$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.292045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under15c253.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under53c216.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9527852.2%145 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over48c199.69$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.744949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c182.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.766,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8234255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under53c179.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.062,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under53c174.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6217047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under52c173.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under53c169.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.957448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under51c164$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6422448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c146.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4326438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5521653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6039440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8573849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over49c118$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.185,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6439149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked Over56c108.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.942748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0627351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under53c101.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.81,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5099447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…2581backed Over61c95.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.034658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Under31c95.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2324843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over45c94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.753950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under53c93.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.515848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under53c89.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5340753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over53c87.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.243,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over50c85.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.891,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Under22c76.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0614351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.