MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22dbf8c84362f55866d6cd505b9ca394b36cd3a0cb7e621ef1005d487e30f025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.98 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 27c | 15,302$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 4,971$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 4,499$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 4c | 4,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Los Angeles Angels | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Los Angeles Angels | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +553.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 2,605$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.21 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…cd44backed Los Angeles Angels | 4c | 2,400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,806$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 1,578$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 999.91$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 990$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.05 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 961.17$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.63 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 728.11$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 692.47$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.16 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 611.09$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 603.92$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 600.08$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.72 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 597.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.65 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Angels | 4c | 580.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.35 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…9779backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 482.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 441$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 394.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 388.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 277$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 252$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 221.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 211.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 199.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Los Angeles Angels | 7c | 197.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 169$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 158.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 14c | 144.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 139.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 127.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 126.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 113.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 113$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 108.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 94.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 91.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 77.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 76.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 72.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 68.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 65.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 54.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 53.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 45.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d1f6backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 44.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 43.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 41.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Angels | 72c | 39.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 38.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 32.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Texas Rangers | 70c | 21.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.