TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over48c80,000$38,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,6003847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under52c45,742$23,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,762.851,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under59c9,528$5,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,597.1325552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c9,195$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,944.442,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under52c8,500$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4203246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under52c8,500$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.9850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.974161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c5,362$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,76841842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…7bdabacked Under52c3,657$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c3,183$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.9728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked Over48c3,128$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over34c2,732$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Under53c2,222$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.665147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c2,036$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.997338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under61c1,782$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.938056.3%45 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.7861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,582$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.371,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Under52c1,577$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8203735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Under7c1,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c1,341$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.4811952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c1,160$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.7910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c1,126$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.4452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over48c1,096$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf367…212ebacked Under55c1,094$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under52c1,081$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.351330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over48c1,005$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.66456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over43c916.41$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.595653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Under53c897.21$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Under52c774.38$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over48c766.82$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.759757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over32c685$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over41c632.09$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.221,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under3c619.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2504%2 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c599.83$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over37c580.9$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.1412357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over29c515.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.879321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under53c438.75$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.542536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under52c416.65$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6613952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Over49c403.04$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.541662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over41c399.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9912536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over37c368$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.331,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c359.13$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7514353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under68c326.18$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0335551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over46c309.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3624442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over41c301$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.931,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Under27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under53c279.38$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.077936.7%29 W · 50 L-11.5wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under52c279.13$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1510056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.324443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over33c249.65$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4828652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under52c230.41$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.814548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over38c229.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4959852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7711852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Over47c203.16$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.675038%19 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over48c200.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.113831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10445756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under10c195.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x359e…9376backed Under53c190.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under66c177.8$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8341050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under71c174.38$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.665141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Over48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.679048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Over48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.675451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over31c163.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.846056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over32c159.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.745352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Over48c157.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.117553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under53c143.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.532853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under61c137.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c124.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.639258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over25c118.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4660449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Under10c113$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Under75c110$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under58c106.45$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1151343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Under71c105.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under70c104$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1410865.7%71 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over43c103.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1421355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over27c103.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over48c103.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.18336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over36c102.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over49c101.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over48c99.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.962254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over48c99.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.964252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over48c99.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.