TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c21,954$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,002.1313841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c11,080$4,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.232,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Over62c4,215$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under50c4,145$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.9241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9919353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf367…212ebacked Under38c1,570$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over53c1,408$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.3912258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under64c1,275$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.371,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under40c1,246$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017750.8%90 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over59c927.23$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.161,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under50c870.69$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7528652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over59c867.29$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.981,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under48c820.07$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.165269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.747861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over24c609.77$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.349321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under38c540.83$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.516841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under39c510$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.950251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Under50c481.33$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.58843.2%38 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over47c461.36$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6812357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16033554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under43c400$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.782353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c392.77$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710663.2%67 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0911245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over61c303$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1724350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over46c291$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.512951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Over61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.56142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under47c246.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.275653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under33c232.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.516056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x583b…9249backed Over60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over54c227.88$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.795141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under60c222.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Over36c204.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6815535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…487dbacked Under71c200.86$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0960449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over36c196.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5721355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under39c190.01$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.13831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under28c180$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.93141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c175.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.411,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under51c169.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Under59c167.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677850%39 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over37c165.69$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.614855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under51c160.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.082857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over58c158.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.624050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under61c155.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.643943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over61c144.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.364477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Under41c120.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under39c113.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.639258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fee…842bbacked Over61c101.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.941770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Under40c101.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.731435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under50c101.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.375352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over50c100.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.452,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397346.6%34 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6112536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c99.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Over49c95.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.912853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c84.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2814254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3314157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…71e6backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.973951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.978336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over61c81.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.961457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd328…8b13backed Over61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Over61c71.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.771361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Under64c69.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Over61c64.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.041855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under58c61.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked Over44c57.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over61c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.458347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over74c54.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over43c52.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9514347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over49c51.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3734547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c50.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.353,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over61c48.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.913770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under54c48.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over38c47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under41c44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9923754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over47c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0912152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under39c40.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Over53c37.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.672853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778a…7a2abacked Over38c37.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over54c37.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2210645.3%48 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Under46c33.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over48c33.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.542560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ab…ecebbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over43c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.438447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over61c30.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8442558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.715261.5%32 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.859852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under41c29.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.254942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under78c29.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7119657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Under60c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.