TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$165,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c67,346$32,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,242.8443647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c30,809$16,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,623.084,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c22,772$10,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,296.7441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c19,155$9,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,952.4111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c18,969$8,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,131.774,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c11,972$6,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,324.511,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c10,118$5,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,362.5492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c9,906$4,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,952.046,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed Over54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c2,812$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.154,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c2,748$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over53c2,491$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.743,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over51c1,924$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.2673949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,586$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6268053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Over53c1,200$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63217853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under49c1,123$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.72,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9917546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over52c1,021$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.1411744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.991,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over50c992.01$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0159549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c962$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.241,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over53c942.94$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.752,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c851.89$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.368,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under49c816.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.923852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over45c686$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.73,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over54c611.11$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c592.3$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.626948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under48c456.72$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.93,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over54c456.13$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3161450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.62,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over31c394.44$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.098,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over49c364.23$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.471,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over37c300$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11261948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c298$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.372,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012852.3%67 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under66c252$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12581257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under78c203.35$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.025,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9644949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c194.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under46c139.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over43c134$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.215,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over45c115.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.841,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under46c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.071,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over32c103.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9627652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245435.2%19 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over31c99.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.011,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c97.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5279255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over54c80.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3913260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x511a…f43fbacked Over52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.62850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under53c78.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0831258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7542241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Over53c72.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.187050%35 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under47c68.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.562,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over21c66.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821656%121 W · 95 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2973849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.27646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over53c59.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6234451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over53c58.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.291,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012957.4%74 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2617953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under79c46.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.781,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Over53c46.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.539153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8694…2ae8backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over44c40.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8257046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over51c38.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over51c38.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…7b50backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010656.6%60 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015452.6%81 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over34c37.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6253644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under47c32.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0951545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb76…28f3backed Over53c30.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.237542.7%32 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625748.2%124 W · 133 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Over56c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2435149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc40a…aa48backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe928…82fcbacked Under49c24.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.532373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under46c23.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3944345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under46c22.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.