MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12eba67c15730121df5865df8d69095c6ea5794b6c334f6d67e976e95af33d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 67,346$32,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,242.84 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 30,809$16,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,623.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 22,772$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,296.74 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 19,155$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,952.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 18,969$8,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 11,972$6,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,324.51 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 10,118$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.54 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 9,906$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed Over | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 2,812$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.15 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 2,748$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 53c | 2,491$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.74 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 51c | 1,924$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.26 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,586$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.62 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Over | 53c | 1,200$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 1,123$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.14 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 992.01$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.01 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 942.94$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.75 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 851.89$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 49c | 816.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.92 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 45c | 686$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 54c | 611.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 592.3$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 456.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 456.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 31c | 394.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 49c | 364.23$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 298$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 66c | 252$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 78c | 203.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 46c | 139.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 134$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 45c | 115.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 32c | 103.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 31c | 99.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 97.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 54c | 80.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 78.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Over | 53c | 72.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 68.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 21c | 66.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 53c | 59.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 58.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 46.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 53c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…2ae8backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 44c | 40.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Over | 51c | 38.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 51c | 38.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…7b50backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 34c | 37.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Over | 53c | 30.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…aa48backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 49c | 24.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 46c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.