TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees50c23,705$11,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,746.921,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees46c19,252$8,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,914.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox51c16,530$8,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,048.9910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Chicago White Sox55c10,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.9998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox53c9,328$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,406.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox56c6,825$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,031.83,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a23…4454backed New York Yankees45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees40c3,515$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.4512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox50c3,365$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.534,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox55c3,170$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox56c3,000$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.995,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees43c2,566$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.42,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox54c1,766$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.146,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Chicago White Sox55c1,501$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.4112857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed New York Yankees33c757.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-82.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Chicago White Sox64c732.21$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2977353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff1…3972backed New York Yankees39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Chicago White Sox53c486.87$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.579255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Yankees43c480$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.448354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked New York Yankees44c409.09$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011951.3%61 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed New York Yankees44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17669351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked New York Yankees38c368.42$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed New York Yankees43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.514047.1%66 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked New York Yankees44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed New York Yankees44c312.38$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9327345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed New York Yankees45c281.17$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5144553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed New York Yankees43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019754.8%108 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox58c257$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.633,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Chicago White Sox57c253.91$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1847350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Chicago White Sox64c237.56$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.742,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox52c234.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked New York Yankees44c229.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004231%13 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked New York Yankees44c228.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed New York Yankees44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked New York Yankees38c216.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8312257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a8…4287backed New York Yankees48c208.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees46c184.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0841152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox70c180.09$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.43,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x706e…b763backed New York Yankees45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago White Sox64c161.89$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago White Sox59c158$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.782,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees41c149$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.541,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees36c145.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.191,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees45c144$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Chicago White Sox67c143.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4623140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Chicago White Sox54c141.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.012,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago White Sox56c139.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.62,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed New York Yankees45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.511542.6%49 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox54c122$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.122,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Chicago White Sox56c117.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5219654.1%106 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed New York Yankees45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Chicago White Sox58c108.62$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6217253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees40c101.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7318855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago White Sox49c100.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.011,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago White Sox57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.762,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4568942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Chicago White Sox55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4573849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked New York Yankees49c95.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715639.1%61 W · 95 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Chicago White Sox49c79.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5919353.9%104 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Chicago White Sox67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7542241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago White Sox60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2573949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed New York Yankees42c59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7825034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago White Sox67c55.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2397050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees46c54.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.961,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Chicago White Sox58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8441051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked New York Yankees36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Chicago White Sox56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed New York Yankees43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox57c38.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.63,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees44c37.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.568,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Chicago White Sox56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7113155.7%73 W · 58 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…02debacked Chicago White Sox56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.719054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees43c35.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.291,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox70c35.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees33c34.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…7212backed Chicago White Sox56c34.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.97862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Chicago White Sox56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9646854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Chicago White Sox56c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked New York Yankees43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox75c29.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.355,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago White Sox63c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.734,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Chicago White Sox52c28.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8851656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Chicago White Sox54c27.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8534451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Chicago White Sox57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Chicago White Sox68c25.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.297050%35 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Chicago White Sox57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox57c23.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.012,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Chicago White Sox64c22.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2787370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees45c22.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1151545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Chicago White Sox54c20.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6313252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Chicago White Sox58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Chicago White Sox56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.839250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.