TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under50c151,701$75,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,262.4644446.8%208 W · 236 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over52c55,555$28,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,888.61,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c40,000$19,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,7751,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c29,448$14,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,582.2811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under48c15,006$7,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.7444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00029147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over0c9,557$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.914,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over50c5,673$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.874,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4508,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over52c4,871$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.6639047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c4,804$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.810,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c4,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9805,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over52c2,472$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.5279247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over50c2,133$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.033,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over51c1,643$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.831,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.0868652.9%363 W · 323 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,564$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.211,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,415$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.216,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under49c1,195$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.4490053.6%482 W · 418 L+24.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Over47c1,118$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.353655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c675.1$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.924,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c659.27$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.832,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30026948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over51c600$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24522638.5%87 W · 139 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under49c448.88$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9320945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over51c438$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.22,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under49c302$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over46c298.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3912849.2%63 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Over50c280.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3410145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over51c265$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.251,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over52c261.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.43,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c243$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5729446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over50c218.4$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5190446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c217.48$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.312,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3381657.1%466 W · 350 L-2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9845149.2%222 W · 229 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over53c189.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5719954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over51c180$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.91,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over52c154.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807234.7%25 W · 47 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3529…fb0cbacked Over13c154$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.412035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5635849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over50c132.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1892645.9%425 W · 501 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over49c129.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over55c118$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.85,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over37c105.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.711,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2c…f9f2backed Under49c104.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.143652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over14c100.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.121,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c100.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.441,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Over41c97.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.920944%92 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Under51c95.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7710759.8%64 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Over46c87.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.112339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under53c79.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5931258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c76.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under68c72.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.555,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8539253.6%210 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over51c68.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6934451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over51c62.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.840554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under78c59.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.943954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over51c58.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6860049.3%296 W · 304 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc40a…aa48backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under65c55.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3811658.6%68 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Over50c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3725034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Over50c49.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.519153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55164.7%33 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4444345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9653950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Over54c37.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3314259.2%84 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Over49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6439250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under59c33.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.989243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Over51c32.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.418551.4%95 W · 90 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…a6fabacked Under49c30.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7710253.9%55 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over50c30.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Under48c30.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7427557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08b5…359dbacked Over53c27.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb76…28f3backed Over52c25.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.287542.7%32 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7550748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1110557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under46c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4918347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d2…4268backed Under49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2214753.1%78 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a9…6f76backed Over54c21.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74860.4%29 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over51c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8151555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaf…6be0backed Over50c21.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.572958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under49c20.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6211050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over52c20.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7744553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.958056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over52c19.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2927345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.