MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceaa54d3e0373077188b7e3dc4278cc1278e90ccd190992b43e1cd188a504ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 151,701$75,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,262.46 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 52c | 55,555$28,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,888.6 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 40,000$19,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,775 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 29,448$14,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,582.28 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 48c | 15,006$7,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802.74 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 0c | 9,557$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 5,673$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.87 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 4,871$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.66 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 4,804$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.8 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 52c | 2,472$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.52 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 2,133$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.03 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,643$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.83 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.08 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,564$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.21 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,415$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.21 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 49c | 1,195$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.44 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Over | 47c | 1,118$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 675.1$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 659.27$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.83 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 51c | 600$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Under | 49c | 448.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 438$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 302$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 298.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Over | 50c | 280.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 265$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 261.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 50c | 243$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 50c | 218.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 217.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 53c | 189.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 180$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 58c | 175$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 52c | 154.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…fb0cbacked Over | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 132.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 129.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Over | 38c | 107.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 37c | 105.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed Under | 49c | 104.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 14c | 100.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 51c | 100.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 41c | 97.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Under | 51c | 95.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 46c | 87.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 76.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 72.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 68.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 51c | 62.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 78c | 59.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 51c | 58.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…aa48backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Under | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 50c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 50c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 54c | 37.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 51c | 32.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Under | 49c | 30.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 30.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 48c | 30.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Over | 53c | 27.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…28f3backed Over | 52c | 25.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 46c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed Over | 54c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…6be0backed Over | 50c | 21.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 52c | 20.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 52c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.