MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb8a1d22c7287512f82d6fbcf59d286a9ec9692a2ec8bcbcc1a42429008f28da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 16,187$6,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,226.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 9,231$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…4454backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 8,421$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 4,835$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.58 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 4,213$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 1,576$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.32 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 639.53$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.53 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 607.58$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 529.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 441.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 327.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.53 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 285.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 277$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 273$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 272.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.72 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a3f6backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 225.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 203.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 199.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 159.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 151$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 142.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 140.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 121.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…fcfbbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 92.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 85.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 75.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 61.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 54.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 43.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 25.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 25.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 22.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…4bf0backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 18.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.