MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f768bfc9b33e91d23bc4b6fa039fd32db8633ca3838d5025ff7b5952171408f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Colorado Rockies, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 7,206$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 6,297$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.64 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 1,790$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 777$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.81 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 500.22$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 441.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 378.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 374.82$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 333.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 325.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 21c | 294.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 242.4$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 228.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Rockies | 13c | 161.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 156$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 129.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 75.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Colorado Rockies | 22c | 75.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Colorado Rockies | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 66.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Colorado Rockies | 34c | 60.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 50.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 50.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 35.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 24.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 260 | 63.8%166 W · 94 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 19.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.