CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5459ab15ef248411f804887a68a0af8fd02eb9bdaef248503c14ed87c4e62d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Prospectsof CYBERSHOKE Prospects, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeed5…7f92backed Misa Esports | 53c | 1,846$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 894.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 592.32$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.06 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 511.17$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…70ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 499.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 499.62$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 50c | 346.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 59c | 331.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 325.16$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 31c | 288.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 40c | 283.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 45c | 282.55$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 268.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 62c | 264.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 55c | 232.41$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 73c | 199.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 181.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 64c | 169.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 56c | 109.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Misa Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 98.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 88.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 48c | 80.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 74.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed Misa Esports | 42c | 69.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 49c | 65.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Misa Esports | 39c | 64.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 42c | 52.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Misa Esports | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Misa Esports | 53c | 39.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 61c | 33.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 47c | 27.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 72c | 23.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 57c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 31 | 96.8%30 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 77cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 59c | 18.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 64c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.