MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af34e438cdb2b99630e6b0cd11df31ffe54abef753f785a4f946a9d030cbe27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 22,831$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 21,190$11,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,811.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 18,950$9,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,188 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 15,000$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.54 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 14,086$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,627.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 14,073$7,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,755.01 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 13,358$7,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 10,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 9,927$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.71 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 8,560$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 6,191$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.74 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 5,871$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,790$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.97 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,243$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 3,207$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,822$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.81 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,420$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.89 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…fd2dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,194$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,152$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.67 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,703$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.38 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,677$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 1,364$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,360$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,275$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.6 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,088$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 1,076$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,050$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.42 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,028$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.3 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,020$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 916.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.93 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 910$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.72 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 889.8$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.3 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 860.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 857.07$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 789.65$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…579cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 768.61$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 714.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 712$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 644.57$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 627.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 558.14$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…461ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 540.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 526.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 523.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 472.26$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.85 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 463.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 450$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 441.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 439.21$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 432.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 426$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 405.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 371.58$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 360.01$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 354.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 344$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 319.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 281.26$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 266.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 266.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 256.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…1d3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 246.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 220.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…03c6backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 207.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 200.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 198.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 187.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.