MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f93fca04b39493314e640649d46113aa0e0bc18a60efb27b7e1883386e3870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Milwaukee Brewers, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 32,585$18,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,475.85 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 26,093$14,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,611.84 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 24,809$10,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,894.01 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 15,895$6,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,901.12 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 14,765$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,416 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 13,742$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.45 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.28 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 8,945$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.35 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 7,847$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.75 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 7,523$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 5,785$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.91 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 5,768$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.5 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 5,765$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,279.39 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 5,602$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.98 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…8999backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 5,229$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,349$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.17 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 2,984$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.37 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,453$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.09 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 2,328$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…4d7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,292$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,078$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.46 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 1,827$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,755$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,675$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 1,621$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.73 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,600$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.18 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 1,554$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.87 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,541$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.29 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 1,426$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.23 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,386$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.61 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,298$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,131$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.42 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,084$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.2 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,049$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 1,028$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 990.68$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.02 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 868$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 841.39$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.01 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 781.49$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.59 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 769.99$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.95 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 744.3$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.25 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 672.09$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.31 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 620$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.16 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 611.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.09 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 577.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.09 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 552.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.53 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 542.17$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.78 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 520.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.25 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…8a6ebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 479.65$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Milwaukee Brewers | 3c | 467.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 459.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Milwaukee Brewers | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 438.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 425.31$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 404.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 402.91$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.16 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 396.05$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.55 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 365$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 346.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 331$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 327.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 275$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 271.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 261.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 257.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…2b6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 256.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 251.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 229.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 6c | 229.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 224.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 216.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 214.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.