Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3bb5a39e59480dcc6c87e1211134dd875da15802ae69cd92ce6de3927701d4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyukof Andreeva, Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Andreeva | 35c | 683.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Andreeva | 34c | 588.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Andreeva | 34c | 519.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Kostyuk | 66c | 513.94$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.88 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kostyuk | 65c | 345.34$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8129backed Kostyuk | 66c | 332.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Andreeva | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kostyuk | 66c | 198.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Kostyuk | 66c | 179$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Kostyuk | 67c | 153.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kostyuk | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Kostyuk | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kostyuk | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Andreeva | 34c | 101.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Andreeva | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Kostyuk | 66c | 92.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Andreeva | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…8e14backed Kostyuk | 68c | 62.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Andreeva | 31c | 60.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Kostyuk | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kostyuk | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Andreeva | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kostyuk | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Kostyuk | 67c | 37.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Andreeva | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)this page
- Andreeva vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Kostyuk: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Marta Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs KostyukKostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.