Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Blockx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7311065636b9e505e0cd867ad4bda57bf006e09a5904ed2fdf6fd41db365e95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Cerundolo, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blockx | 34c | 914.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.78 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cerundolo | 60c | 763.06$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.62 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Cerundolo | 60c | 431.22$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.73 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cerundolo | 66c | 350.42$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Blockx | 33c | 297.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cerundolo | 56c | 289.34$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Blockx | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Blockx | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x688a…9450backed Blockx | 43c | 247.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cerundolo | 63c | 246.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cerundolo | 44c | 234.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Blockx | 39c | 219.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Blockx | 35c | 190.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Blockx | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 150 | 39.3%59 W · 91 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…37afbacked Cerundolo | 60c | 181.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Cerundolo | 61c | 180$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Blockx | 40c | 176.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7f…957cbacked Blockx | 37c | 168.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Blockx | 50c | 150.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Blockx | 46c | 126.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Cerundolo | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cerundolo | 63c | 106.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…c4eebacked Blockx | 44c | 103.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blockx | 42c | 91.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cerundolo | 66c | 90.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Cerundolo | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Blockx | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Cerundolo | 64c | 57.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cerundolo | 62c | 49.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Blockx | 38c | 46.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Cerundolo | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Cerundolo | 50c | 40.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Blockx | 42c | 40.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Cerundolo | 60c | 36.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Cerundolo | 66c | 34.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…00d9backed Cerundolo | 61c | 31.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Cerundolo | 43c | 31.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Cerundolo | 44c | 30.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Cerundolo | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Cerundolo | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Cerundolo | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Blockx | 44c | 25.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Cerundolo | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Cerundolo | 56c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Blockxthis page
- Cerundolo vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Blockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.