Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b856afbef5ebbd52c969e358135306188f0b83f4a7b1db4641e7661a618d5a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Cerundolo, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Blockx | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Cerundolo | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Blockx | 57c | 1,519$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.62 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Cerundolo | 43c | 1,209$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cerundolo | 43c | 865.86$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.14 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Cerundolo | 46c | 540.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Cerundolo | 43c | 460$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Cerundolo | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Blockx | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Blockx | 56c | 283.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Cerundolo | 43c | 240.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Blockx | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Cerundolo | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Blockx | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Blockx | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 159.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Cerundolo | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cerundolo | 42c | 123.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Cerundolo | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Cerundolo | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Cerundolo | 39c | 77.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Blockx | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cerundolo | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…6b0fbacked Blockx | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Blockx | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cerundolo | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…8a00backed Blockx | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Blockx | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Blockx | 58c | 42.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cerundolo | 44c | 29.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Blockx | 56c | 28.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Cerundolo vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs BlockxBlockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.