Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: CSUN Matadors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c345c68df2e1db6e5d0d5d840c94285cd1c2f1851e6f0faf46d3d783414a0a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Irvine Anteatersof CSUN Matadors, UC Irvine Anteaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed CSUN Matadors | 50c | 2,750$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.49 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked CSUN Matadors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 1,866$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.46 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 1,290$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSUN Matadors | 47c | 1,287$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 888.16$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.08 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 874.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.89 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSUN Matadors | 49c | 859.59$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.22 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 839.34$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.67 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 606.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 402.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 133.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSUN Matadors | 43c | 119.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors | 47c | 102.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed CSUN Matadors | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked CSUN Matadors | 52c | 58.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 53.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CSUN Matadors | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 65c | 42.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed CSUN Matadors | 49c | 39.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 34.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CSUN Matadors (-1.5)this page
- UC Irvine Anteaters vs. CSUN MatadorsUC Irvine Anteaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.