Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ce3161a2f8bcefa8f4f2ae84ad5ddf1e12b0de6c0d59cb6263cabde08435aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lindenwood Lionsof Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, Lindenwood Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,372 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 4,128$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 2,411$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 2,023$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 1,897$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.74 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 313.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…1d57backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 41c | 210$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 165.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lindenwood Lions | 59c | 105.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Lindenwood Lions | 54c | 95.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 85.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 72.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 68.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 47c | 56.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lindenwood Lions | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lindenwood Lions | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 34.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-3.5)this page
- Lindenwood Lions vs. Southeast Missouri State RedhawksSoutheast Missouri State Redhawks won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-2.5)Lindenwood Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.