Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lindenwood Lions vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4c7aedc03124a36977ae68d57f8dba2d5a86b2d947ab5e62efed0893b5145fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawksof Lindenwood Lions, Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,979 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 59c | 757.18$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.76 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Lindenwood Lions | 42c | 393.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 50c | 288.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 57c | 288.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 246.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Lindenwood Lions | 35c | 228.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 26c | 198.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 198.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 198.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 35c | 171.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lindenwood Lions | 46c | 161.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 44c | 151.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lindenwood Lions | 73c | 139.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Lindenwood Lions | 37c | 134.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 123.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Lindenwood Lions | 37c | 114.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 45c | 104.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 74c | 100.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 99.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 60c | 99.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 58c | 84.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 60c | 79.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 60.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 58.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 42c | 56.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 69c | 55.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 45c | 55.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Lindenwood Lions | 40c | 49.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lindenwood Lions | 46c | 49.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Lindenwood Lions | 33c | 45.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 40c | 37.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 46c | 35.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 69c | 32.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lindenwood Lions | 40c | 26.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 58c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lindenwood Lions | 68c | 16.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…14e8backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 77c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lindenwood Lions vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawksthis page
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-2.5)Lindenwood Lions won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-3.5)Lindenwood Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.