Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 132.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8955523b419a37e269c3648f86e3c9b5883f06d6f345aa1b6ebf4d610a0d2d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 1,866$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Over | 54c | 1,196$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 41c | 1,075$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.29 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 48c | 930.15$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.31 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 51c | 496.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 72c | 260.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 9c | 137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 83.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Under | 59c | 53.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Over | 52c | 50.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…682dbacked Over | 52c | 50.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 45c | 46.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 132.5this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-6.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas JayhawksSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 135.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 145.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.