NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9c92e29e80a44d57022ae2e1d8334cddebe1d62484f0c81eae2840cf3d8272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Hornets, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfee5…a679backed Knicks | 63c | 9,675$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…cd72backed Hornets | 37c | 9,675$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 69c | 8,743$6,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Hornets | 22c | 2,547$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.43 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Knicks | 72c | 2,313$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Hornets | 27c | 2,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 65c | 1,405$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hornets | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Knicks | 69c | 1,377$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.54 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Hornets | 34c | 1,334$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 66c | 1,262$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Knicks | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 33c | 1,001$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.93 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hornets | 34c | 997.8$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Hornets | 29c | 868.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 13c | 850.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hornets | 34c | 745.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks | 71c | 663.5$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Hornets | 36c | 609.22$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 75c | 580$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 30c | 526.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 39c | 525.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Hornets | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 2c | 457.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Knicks | 70c | 433.55$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Hornets | 25c | 406.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Hornets | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Hornets | 30c | 399.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Hornets | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Knicks | 74c | 318.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Knicks | 67c | 294$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Hornets | 37c | 250.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Knicks | 73c | 244$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Hornets | 36c | 224.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Knicks | 68c | 210.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Knicks | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Hornets | 33c | 179.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…f60cbacked Knicks | 64c | 157.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Knicks | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Knicks | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…380fbacked Hornets | 32c | 149.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Hornets | 28c | 149.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 68c | 146.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Hornets | 32c | 131.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Hornets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Knicks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Knicks | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…5503backed Hornets | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Knicks | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…af8abacked Hornets | 38c | 90.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…0fb4backed Knicks | 63c | 89.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Knicks | 68c | 78.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Hornets | 31c | 65.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…d5c6backed Hornets | 38c | 62.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…c641backed Knicks | 64c | 61.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Hornets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Hornets | 31c | 59.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed Hornets | 31c | 56.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Knicks | 59c | 54.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5347…36a5backed Knicks | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Hornets | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…4ebabacked Knicks | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…d88abacked Hornets | 33c | 50.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…9c9cbacked Hornets | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…216cbacked Hornets | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Knicks | 72c | 48.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked Knicks | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Knicks | 68c | 37.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Knicks | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Knicks | 62c | 31.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked Knicks | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…9fffbacked Knicks | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…889bbacked Knicks | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…3be8backed Knicks | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Knicks | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…7c77backed Knicks | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Knicks | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Knicks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Knicksthis page
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.