Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96197a9bfe0ab72ebc38e73e91688c8a5faf043e0ba0e70407486ed8f0d27a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Seattle Redhawks, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 3,278$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon State Beavers | 13c | 3,162$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.15 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 2,973$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.15 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 13c | 1,604$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 48c | 1,420$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon State Beavers | 13c | 1,147$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon State Beavers | 13c | 1,062$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 1,023$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 864$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon State Beavers | 13c | 557.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 539.91$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 508.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oregon State Beavers | 17c | 419.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 413$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oregon State Beavers | 13c | 260$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Oregon State Beavers | 49c | 123.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Oregon State Beavers | 10c | 120.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 120.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Seattle Redhawks | 53c | 113.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Oregon State Beavers | 40c | 77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 68.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Redhawks | 48c | 66.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 65.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 55.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Oregon State Beavers | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 35.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seattle Redhawks | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 20.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…361abacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 20.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-6.5)this page
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle RedhawksSeattle Redhawks won
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 136.5Under won
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.