NHL · resolved market
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Henderson Silver Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53771a6a3c20fe5e2e47735315153d3a230b488df620900354c1aa43b6374861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof San Jose Barracuda, Henderson Silver Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 57c | 3,384$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.57 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Jose Barracuda | 46c | 2,123$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.9 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 449.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 388.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 323.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 272.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 224.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 206.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 165.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked San Jose Barracuda | 51c | 153.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 140.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 132$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 115.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 114.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 103.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed San Jose Barracuda | 44c | 78.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed San Jose Barracuda | 43c | 49.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Henderson Silver Knights | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed San Jose Barracuda | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 37.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 49c | 36.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 34.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Henderson Silver Knights | 76c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Henderson Silver Knights | 64c | 31.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Henderson Silver Knights | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed San Jose Barracuda | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 19.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Henderson Silver Knights | 59c | 17.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.