Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaafa61993788dd02c54f6ccdc8f31a3bf8224a8c84e12b9ee5ed0063de85f04

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paulof Paul, Etcheverry
Resolved: Mar 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,110 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x22da…2866backed Etcheverry	56c	1,388$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.26	950	50.1%476 W · 474 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Paul	44c	550$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308	350	40.9%143 W · 207 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Paul	44c	318.18$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.18	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+59.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Paul	48c	243.9$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.92	183	37.7%69 W · 114 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Paul	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	389	51.9%202 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Paul	45c	223.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.86	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Paul	44c	196.38$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.77	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Etcheverry	58c	137.38$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	196	49%96 W · 100 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Etcheverry	56c	129.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	255	46.3%118 W · 137 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paul	44c	129.63$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.69	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paul	43c	127.18$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.09	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Etcheverry	56c	121.71$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Paul	44c	104.55$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.55	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Paul	50c	104.27$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.61	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Paul	44c	102.27$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.27	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry	36c	99.26$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Etcheverry	55c	81.47$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.81	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe172…e5a1backed Etcheverry	54c	71.24$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.47	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Paul	77c	70.82$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.29	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Etcheverry	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Paul	44c	56.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	692	53.3%369 W · 323 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Etcheverry	52c	52.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Etcheverry	57c	51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Paul	44c	39.77$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.27	2,418	51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L	+10.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Etcheverry	56c	31.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-6.3wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Paul	46c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.2	584	38.2%223 W · 361 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Etcheverry	57c	26.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)this page
Etcheverry vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy PaulTommy Paul won
Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs PaulPaul won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event