NHL · resolved market
AHL: Tucson Roadrunners vs. Henderson Silver Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc513735e783b11845e47cf099040fbbb053bff0dac03a23403d5ba14bd939e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Tucson Roadrunners, Henderson Silver Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 1,958$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.29 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Tucson Roadrunners | 43c | 500.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 371.23$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Henderson Silver Knights | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tucson Roadrunners | 41c | 299$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 236.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 160.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 136.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 120.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…2f27backed Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 106.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 71c | 91.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Henderson Silver Knights | 54c | 69.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 62.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 48.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tucson Roadrunners | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 27.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Henderson Silver Knights | 74c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.