TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Resilienceof Xtreme Gaming, Team Resilience
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0993…525fbacked Team Resilience53c12,508$6,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,855.691844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming46c11,431$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Resilience54c6,031$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.8636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Xtreme Gaming50c2,760$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.0626540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Resilience49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27519742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Xtreme Gaming45c1,377$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.5650353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Xtreme Gaming51c1,367$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0416746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fb36backed Xtreme Gaming51c1,155$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Xtreme Gaming45c1,154$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.4315650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming45c880$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Xtreme Gaming49c659.58$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32629352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed Xtreme Gaming46c629.37$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.483158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed Team Resilience49c609.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9428846.5%134 W · 154 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Xtreme Gaming50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Xtreme Gaming55c541.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Team Resilience45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27518437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Team Resilience53c480.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0633445.2%151 W · 183 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Resilience47c421.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5226343%113 W · 150 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Team Resilience50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010853.7%58 W · 50 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09a6…73c7backed Xtreme Gaming50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Resilience55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Xtreme Gaming47c379.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Resilience50c314.64$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3243067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Resilience49c220.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5826445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Resilience55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998842%37 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Xtreme Gaming50c202.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Xtreme Gaming50c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.954659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10887645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Xtreme Gaming46c180.51$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.038046.3%37 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Xtreme Gaming50c164$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Xtreme Gaming45c146.67$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked Team Resilience53c143.48$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Resilience57c139.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1153634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Team Resilience50c133.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8223149.4%114 W · 117 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Xtreme Gaming51c116.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609942.4%42 W · 57 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Xtreme Gaming46c113.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7425266.3%167 W · 85 L+20.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Xtreme Gaming45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Xtreme Gaming45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Resilience54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.525047.6%119 W · 131 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc22a…a35cbacked Team Resilience50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5013540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e9…443bbacked Xtreme Gaming51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110650%53 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Xtreme Gaming45c99.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.785954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2799…b1e1backed Team Resilience54c91.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Team Resilience37c90$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.76543.1%28 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Xtreme Gaming45c89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Xtreme Gaming48c85.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4111751.3%60 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…d837backed Team Resilience53c83.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Team Resilience50c82.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.487745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked Team Resilience50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa28c…0042backed Xtreme Gaming46c74.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.214042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c12…3d4cbacked Xtreme Gaming51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Xtreme Gaming45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-42.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked Xtreme Gaming44c65.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Resilience50c60.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.216553.3%88 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3c…559ebacked Xtreme Gaming45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2718055.6%100 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Xtreme Gaming69c58.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.519351.6%48 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Team Resilience56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5714566.2%96 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Team Resilience50c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Team Resilience50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Team Resilience41c43.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.489239.1%36 W · 56 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Xtreme Gaming45c41.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.914755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Resilience53c40.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.214452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Team Resilience40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Team Resilience50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Xtreme Gaming52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3166545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b2…633abacked Team Resilience55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf985…d744backed Team Resilience55c36.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Xtreme Gaming45c36.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2935850.6%181 W · 177 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Team Resilience55c36.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.297057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Xtreme Gaming45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Xtreme Gaming46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157361.6%45 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Xtreme Gaming51c31.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.855448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Resilience50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.543860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Xtreme Gaming45c26.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7912263.9%78 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Team Resilience51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Xtreme Gaming48c24.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9637745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5000…c2bebacked Team Resilience54c24.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Xtreme Gaming45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73be…16f5backed Team Resilience55c23.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Xtreme Gaming51c23.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9417537.1%65 W · 110 L-13.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Xtreme Gaming46c21.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.115945.9%73 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Xtreme Gaming53c21.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Resilience54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.214252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.