MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda40e6d7c7a555012f8b0829aed735fb7f67e7a3ff9da6d9506c072f6256ee55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,923 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 1,524$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.81 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,377$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.86 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colorado Rockies | 4c | 1,044$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 22c | 814.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 589.62$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.91 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 546.51$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 440.43$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 393.87$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 27c | 257.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 256.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 200.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 171.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Colorado Rockies | 29c | 170.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 164.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 138.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 133.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 110.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 104.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 100.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Colorado Rockies | 20c | 99.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 98.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 87.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 80.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 54.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 37.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 30.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 27.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.